Los actores externos : agendas y estrategias de Estados Unidos para América Latina (2010-2020)

Abstract

This paper reviews the relationship between the United States and Latin America in the latest years so as to discuss future scenarios, with particular attention to Trump’s administration. Although the agenda during Obama’s administration was not particularly comprehensive, it was not apathetic towards the region; relationships showed a substantial improvement despite the paradigm, which remained unaltered. In the future, the lack of definition will prevail: for the United States, because of social tensions pressing the agenda towards increased protectionism and “to look inward”, with its subsequent commercial effects and a significant impact on trends like migration; for Latin America, because prospecting is difficult, with no guarantees for long-term stability despite the “liberal turn”, together with the fact that developmental and distributionist governments have come to an end in important countries of the region. It is also important to consider fundamental actors recently involved in the mix, such as China. For all of the above, no significant changes should be expected in hemispheric relationships.